Sinewave Securities

The Healthcare delivery Industry - According to the Global Health Expenditure Database compiled by the World Health Organisation (WHO), India’s current expenditure on healthcare was 3.5% of GDP in 2018. India’s real GDP in fiscal 2019 was Rs 139.8 trillion (constant fiscal 2012 prices). Accordingly, India’ current healthcare expenditure during fiscal 2019 is estimated at approximately Rs 4.9 trillion. India trails not just developed countries such as the United States (the US) and the United Kingdom (the UK), but also developing countries such as Brazil, Nepal, Vietnam, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, and Thailand in terms of healthcare spending as a percentage of GDP as of 2018.

The real estate market in India has grown at a CAGR of approximately 10% from USD 50 billion in 2008 to USD 120 billion in 2017, and is expected to further grow at a CAGR of 17.7% to reach USD 1 trillion by 2030. The real estate market contributed approximately 6% to India’s GDP in 2017 and is likely to contribute approximately 13% to India’s GDP by 2025. Residential, commercial and retail are the three key asset classes that have primarily contributed to the growth of the real estate market in India. (Anarock Report)

The book as the title suggest Fooled by Randomness brings out the role of chance and luck over widely proclaimed qualities marketed more often in the world of randomness. It lays an alternative perspective to various aspects like luck, probability, theory etc. As Taleb proclaims in the preface “my motto is to tease those who take themselves and quality of their knowledge too seriously”. Being a mathematician and an long standing advocate of probability theory Taleb does not refrain from trolling the concept of “certain knowledge” and its practitioners. Qualities like perseverance, persistence and doggedness may be necessary but not enough  in order to win. The prologue gives brief outline regarding the flow of the book and what does it stand for. It lays down the “Table of confusion” covering the central distinctions used in the book.